Friday, 17 March 2017

I predicted years ago that, due to their embrace of immigrationism, the big left-wing parties, traditionally one of the Big Two parties in every political firmament in Europe, would be gone as major political forces within a generation. If anything, this is happening sooner than I expected.

As we see from Corbyn in Britain, Hamon in France, the Sanders insurgency in the US, the Left is increasingly fringing out. Faced with the choice of abandoning immigrationism - once it encounters mass popular resistance - or doubling down on it, they are choosing the latter. They are too ideologically and emotionally invested in it to do otherwise.

This is good for us because it means the Left is increasingly abandoning the idea of being a mass popular movement capable of winning mainstream support. Instead, it is decomposing into its constituent elements or, to put it another way, fringing out into self-parody.

The Dutch elections fit this pattern perfectly. The big Dutch Socialist party (PvdA) was almost annihilated, going from 38 seats to 9, only a few more than the party of the animals. The Left voted splintered, going to various fringe movements. The GreenLeft got 14 seats. The Party of the Animals got 5 seats.

The Left, in modern times, has had to achieve a balance of interests between ideological cosmopolitan zealots, aggrieved poor people and alien-ethno activists. It is clear that it is now struggling to hold this coalition together. Once the Left is broken as a cohesive mass movement, however, politics should become a contest between the real right and the kosher right.

How these fissiparous tendencies in the Left play out on the macro stage will be dependent, to a large extent, on the exact nature of the mechanical engineering behind the political system in each country. For example, in the US, a rigid, two-party politics is almost hard-coded into the system. It's not clear what will give there.

We see a clear example of fringing out, or "flight forward", in the "Jessiah", Jesse Klaver.

Something of a throwback to classic 1970s Dutch ideals of openness and radicalism, Klaver has a Moroccan father and a mother of Indonesian descent. The far-right populism of Geert Wilders, rather than Muslim immigration, is the real threat to Dutch culture and traditions, he has repeatedly said.
Properly leftwing parties in Europe had to fight the rise of the far right by standing up for their ideals, he said on Wednesday.
“What I would say to all my leftwing friends in Europe: don’t try to fake the populace,” he said. “Stand for your principles. Be straight. Be pro-refugee. Be pro-European. We’re gaining momentum in the polls. You can stop populism.”
But the Left are not really stopping populism. They're engaging in a leftist populism of their own.

There are also parties entering the Dutch Parliament for the first time that will also, in their different ways, be good for the cause of European survival.
The first is Denk, which is explicitly a party for Muslim (mainly Turkish) invaders. Having the Muslim invader voice heard openly in political debate for the first time, representing undisguised ethno-religious and even Turkish nationalist advocacy, is likely to provoke a negative reaction among Dutch indigenes.
The second is Forum for Democracy, led by the journalist and author Thierry Baudet. Baudet's ideas are much closer to the Alt Right than Geert Wilders, who is more narrowly focused on the issue of Islam and attempts to stay "kosher" in most other respects.
The paper delved into the support Baudet has from the co-called ‘alt-right’, an American extreme right-wing movement whose activities are internet-based and whose following in the Netherlands, according to the NRC, consists of ‘a relatively small group of people on the internet who adhere to a variety of ideas, from libertarian to extremely right wing. They find each other in the thought that the white western male is under threat from, among others, Muslims and feminists. 
Like their American Alt right supporters they frequent the internet forum 4chan,’ the paper writes. Alt-right stance Baudet earned the support of the alt-right for his anti-feminist stance. ‘He defended controversial ‘pick-up artist’ Julien Blanc. His recent comment about the elite which is working on “a homeopathic mixing of our population with other peoples so there will never by another Dutchman”, was also appreciated,’ the NRC writes. 
Although Baudet’s following is much broader, he likes to flirt with the movement, for instance by retweeting a photoshopped picture of him with the American alt-right symbol Pepe the frog on his shoulder. He also met American alt-right figures such as Milo Yiannopoloulos and James Ronald Kennedy, whom he called ‘a respected author’, the paper writes. As for Baudet’s relationship with alt-right the paper quotes him as saying: ‘I think it’s an interesting movement but I don’t know enough about it to make an intelligent assessment.’ 
Whether or not alt-right supporters ‘memed them into the 2e kamer’, as supporters claimed, is hard to tell, the NRC concludes.

Wilders being out of any likely coalition also means that he is likely to capitalise on any discontent with the ruling regime.

All in all, then, there are hopeful signs in this result, even if it was not the immediate victory we were hoping for.